FMQB: Super Bowl Preview
It is here (well, almost). Super Bowl Sunday! One final game of the season, one final game to rule them all, one last chance at redemption for this Rams fan to knock out Brady and Belichick.
Super Bowl Stat #1:
This is New England’s 11th Super Bowl appearance overall, meaning that even though there are 16 teams in the AFC, the Patriots have won the conference 21% of the time in the Super Bowl era
Super Bowl Stat #2:
With a win, Brady will set the record for most Super Bowl wins by any player (currently tied with Charles Haley with 5). A loss however ties him with Jim Kelly for the most Super Bowl losses by a QB.
Super Bowl Stat #3:
The 17 year age difference between Brady and Goff is the largest in Super Bowl history
Super Bowl Stat #4:
The 33 year age gap between Belichick and McVay is also a Super Bowl record
Super Bowl Stat #5:
In the past 14 Super Bowls, 12 have been won by teams wearing white. The Pats are wearing white this year…
Super Bowl Stat #6:
In the playoffs, Brady/Belichick are 16-1 against teams they didn’t face in the regular season. They did not face the Rams, but their 1 loss came against the Eagles last year.
Super Bowl Stat #7:
Tom Brady has been sacked only 5 times in the last 8 games.
Super Bowl Stat #8:
Take a look at the last 8 games between both teams. Bizarre coincidence. Maybe this means OT for the Super Bowl again!
Pats: win, win, loss, loss, win, win, win, win.
Rams: win, win, loss, loss, win, win, win, win.
If your team had a rough year, keep in mind that 2 of the 8 divisions were won by teams that went from Worst to First (Bears and Texans), and 15 of the last 16 years at least 1 team has made that feat. And 2 of the teams last year, Philly and Jacksonville, both made their conference championship games with the Eagles winning the Super Bowl!
Things to watch for:
- The Patriots defense did a marvelous job shutting down the Chiefs early, but they completely fell apart in the 4th quarter. While this emphasizes the strength in New England’s coaches ability to prepare for a team, it also showed their weakness of adjusting on the fly. Similar to the Rams start last week, see if Goff going no huddle in the 2nd or 3rd quarter marks a shift in momentum
- The Patriots also shut down Tyreek Hill and do not allow much on the jet sweep, which the Rams also like to run. This could lead to some early 3 and outs for the Rams
- Inexperience vs. Experience: You have a coach for NE with as much NFL coaching experience that McVay has years on this planet. While McVay is flashy, innovative, and a genius; Belichick has seen it all.
- The Rams have a shaky run defense, but it has shown up in the postseason, only allowing 98 yards over 2 games (and to Zeke and Ingram/Kamara for that matter). The Patriots have owned the clock and have ran like crazy with their 3 back system, so this will be a deciding factor in the game. I will say this, if the Patriots rush for 120+ yards, they win the game by more than 10 points. If they rush for less than 60, they lose.
- Tom Brady’s arm strength and mobility is starting to catch up with him. Patriots coaches have done a marvelous job in changing the scheme, calling plays where Brady basically can get rid of the ball in less than 2 seconds and let their athletes do the work. The Chiefs actually did a good job stopping this in OT, and leading Brady into three 3rd and 10s. This is exactly where you want to put him as a defense, he just miraculously pulled out all 3. Against the sack-happy Rams D line, watch for very fast plays. Anything over 10 yards will be a risk for a sack.
- I also think the refs swallow their whistles, only 4 penalties all game
I realize this is a total cop-out answer, so don’t hate me. Deep down I feel the Patriots are going to win, as much as I hate to say it. But I am going to pick the Rams because I’ve been doing this for 8 years and NEED to pick my team. I have the game being very similar to the Pats Chiefs game; slow to start but explosive 4th quarter with lead changes. I have it 3-3 at the end of the 1st. 10-6 Patriots at halftime. 17-13 Patriots at the end of 3. And then FINAL SCORE of Rams 34, Patriots 31. If I get all 4 right, I’ll retire from FMQB!
Thought to ponder:
If the Super Bowl was in Minneapolis this week, with the -50 degree windchills, it may have actually been cancelled. Also, if this had been the Super Bowl last year, I totally would have been there!
Memes of the Week: