I’m back, wow, Season 7 of Friday Morning Quarterback! Expect a few changes this year, fewer dissertations and more quick hitting fun facts. We all watch the games, I don’t need to turn into Joe Buck 2.0 and explain what happened. I know I promised to go back to the goofy team names last year, and like Digiorno I didn’t deliver. So I’ll try again folks!
Quick Recap from Last year’s Predictions
- Predicted Packers Patriots Super Bowl. Got one right, the second lost in the NFC Championship
- “Last year as starting QB for Jay Cutler (I’ve held onto him too long)”…I was close until he was yanked out of retirement
- Picked 6 of 32 records dead on
- Picked both Offensive and Defensive rookies of the year, that’s a first!
- Predicted the QB controversy in Dallas, said Dak would keep the starting job
- Said Jared Goff would get and keep the starting job in Week 9, happened in Week 10!
- “Blake Bortles is a top 5 QB in either yards or TD’s.” Nope, #15 in both
- “RGIII sees a resurgence this year before getting injured at the end of the season. Comeback player of the year.” Call it a push, his resurgence (if you want to call it that) essentially came in preseason but he got hurt way too early.
- “Kelvin Benjamin is back with a vengeance. Top 5 receiver in the league” He showed promise, but was 31st in yards, 16th in TDs
- Andrew Luck is his old self, bringing the team to the AFC Championship game…ouch
- Brock Osweiler becomes the real deal for Houston…double ouch
- Bears WR Kevin White is a household name after this year
Fact of the Week:
In 2012 after mortgaging their future for RGIII, the Redskins took Kirk Cousins in the 4th round as an afterthought. On the exact same day in 2017, the Browns released RGIII and Kirk Cousins signed a $24M deal.
Fact of the Week #2:
Derek Carr signed the richest deal in NFL history, only to be surpassed 3 weeks later by Matthew Stafford. Keep in mind that Tim Tebow has more playoff wins than both of these QB’s combined.
Stat of the Week:
The Jets have the worst odds in NFL history to win the Super Bowl, at 1000-1. For reference, last year the Browns and 49ers were at 200-1.
- Am I missing something about the Chiefs and Alex Smith? Seems like his replacement was brought in about 3 years too early. The Chiefs won their division last year, this doesn’t make sense.
- The Mike Glennon saga in Chicago has been a disaster and the season hasn’t even started. Mitch Trubiskey had a strong preseason and Glennon signed an Osweiler-esque deal to come and now likely not even start.
- So odd to me that 18 months ago, Brock Osweiler was a Bronco. Left on terrible terms, signed a record deal, did horribly, got traded to the Browns and couldn’t even win a starting job there, and now is back with the Broncos! One of the weirder NFL stories out there.
- What happens if Teddy Bridgewater is actually healthy? The offensive line is rough for the Vikes, so good chance Bradford either gets hurt or struggles.
Rookie of the Year
Christian McCaffrey on offense, Reuben Foster for defense
- Blake Bortles last year as a starting QB
- Cutler leads Dolphins to the playoffs
- Jets get the #1 pick
- Alex Smith starts all 16 games
- Osweiler is starting for the Broncos by Week 9
- DeShone Kizer surprises the league and the Browns, better stats than Deshaun Watson
- Jared Goff shows some promise, more TD’s than INT’s
- Carson Palmer’s final year, same with Fitzgerald
- Ty Montgomery a Top 10 RB in the league, breaks 1000 yards
MVP- Aaron Rodgers
Team By Team
Jets: I literally had to Google who the Jets QB was, that’s how dire their situation is. 1-15
Bills: After years of mediocrity, could this be the year? They seem to go 4-2 every year just to finish 6-10. Expect the same. 6-10
Dolphins: They made the playoffs last year, but Tannehill’s injury was devastating. I’m higher on Cutler than 99% of fans out there, but think they could squeak in again. 5-11
Patriots: This is the easiest division to pick, and quite frankly has been the past 15 years. Very strong chance to repeat. 13-3
Browns: Apparently Osweiler was bad, then the starter, then bad again, then hyped up in a video. Who will we get? They also lost their top receiver, don’t expect much. 2-14
Ravens: It all comes down to Flacco, who’s injury is confusing. Apparently after all the Kaepernick hype, he’s still starting Week 1. 10-6
Steelers: Roethlisberger makes this team Super Bowl caliber every year he plays. Shoe in for the playoffs. 12-4
Bengals: Last year was shockingly disappointing after 4 straight playoff runs. I see them bouncing back. 8-8
Broncos: QB is their only issue, as they have one of the strongest defenses in the league. I still see them missing the playoffs at 8-8.
Raiders: Team to beat in the division for sure, hard to find any weaknesses with the team. 12-4
Chiefs: I keep forgetting they won this division last year. My opinion is the only way they can derail this is if they try to insert Mahomes at QB too soon. 11-5
Chargers: The relocation is quietly extremely tough on teams, which really never get an offseason. They struggled last year as is. 7-9
Colts: The Andrew Luck situation is bizarre, nobody seems to know if he’ll play Week 1 or not at all. 6-10
Texans: Bill Obrien is about to have his 4th QB in 4 years, yet he’s made the playoffs in each season with a different QB. 10-6
Titans: Titans were a surging team late last year before Mariotta’s injury, and I think they win the division this year. 11-5
Jaguars: As if they couldn’t get any worse, they just named Bortles the starter. 2-14
Giants: The quiet team in the division that won 11 games last year. Still should be solid at 10-6.
Cowboys: Still the team to beat even with Elliot out, as long as Dak doesn’t have a sophomore slump. 11-5
Redskins: I feel like this team should be much better with a QB that throws for 4900 yards, yet they’re not. 9-6
Eagles: I’d expect some improvement from Wentz, but it’s such a crowded division. 8-8
Vikings: Don’t hate me people, this team will regress with their awful offensive line. 5-11
Lions: Another shot to make the playoffs at 9-7
Packers: Easily the team to beat, Rodgers takes them on another 10-6 run after starting the season 2-5.
Bears: Don’t get me started, only their RB is a proven position, everything else is up in the air. 2-14
Rams: The Rams didn’t win a game with Jared Goff as QB, that’s bad news bears. 5-11
49ers: Expect another very rough year. 3-13
Seahawks: Should be an easy division win. Not elite, but better than mediocre. 11-5
Cardinals: Such an odd team, rough year even though they were in the NFC Championship the year before. Look for 9-7.
Saints: Very tough division, essentially the only reason why they’re not a playoff team. 8-8
Buccaneers: This is the surprise team in the league (if you want to call it that). 10-6
Falcons: Repeats as division champs, their offense is just too strong. 12-4
Panthers: Slight bounceback, possible Super Bowl darkhorse. 9-7
My longshots (and what I betted on in Vegas back in February) are Steelers and Panthers. Realistically, I have Patriots vs. Packers AGAIN. Backup choice (and the two to lose their respective championship games) are Raiders vs. Cowboys
Games of the Week:
Raiders at Titans
Seahawks at Packers
Giants at Cowboys